Tournaments / 2020-2021
THE NORTHERN TRUST
2021-08-19 · Liberty National Golf Club
- Winner
- Tony Finau
- Winning score
- -20
- Field
- 123
- Field strength
- +0.474 SG
The 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Liberty National Golf Club, starting 19 August 2021. Tony Finau won at 20 under par (264). The winning card was 67, 64, 68 and 65, and the win paid $1,710,000. Cameron Smith finished second, and Jon Rahm was third. 123 players started the event. The field averaged +0.474 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 99% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 123. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Tony Finau
- Pos
- P1
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 264
- Cameron Smith
- Pos
- P2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 60
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 264
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 63
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 266
- Alex Noren
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 269
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 63
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 269
- Tom Hoge
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 269
- Erik van Rooyen
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 270
- Corey Conners
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 271
- Keith Mitchell
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 271
- Kevin Na
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Harold Varner III
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 272
- Hudson Swafford
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 272
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 272
- Patrick Cantlay
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 272
- Shane Lowry
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 272
- Harry Higgs
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 273
- Pat Perez
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 273
- Robert Streb
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 273
- Sungjae Im
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 273
- Xander Schauffele
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 62
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 273
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.101
- Top-20 hit rate
- 35%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 32.8
Grade is this event’s percentile (4th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Rahm | 1st | 3rd |
| Justin Thomas | 2nd | 4th |
| Xander Schauffele | 3rd | 16th |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 4th | 31st |
| Abraham Ancer | 5th | 64th |
| Webb Simpson | 6th | 47th |
| Rory McIlroy | 7th | 43rd |
| Daniel Berger | 8th | 56th |
| Patrick Cantlay | 9th | 11th |
| Viktor Hovland | 10th | 43rd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Keith Mitchell | 73rd | 8th(−65) |
| Hudson Swafford | 74th | 11th(−63) |
| Jordan Spieth | 11th | 73rd(+62) |
| Abraham Ancer | 5th | 64th(+59) |
| Tom Hoge | 61st | 4th(−57) |
| Robert Streb | 72nd | 16th(−56) |
| Brian Harman | 22nd | 75th(+53) |
| Erik van Rooyen | 60th | 7th(−53) |
| Paul Casey | 12th | 64th(+52) |
| Daniel Berger | 8th | 56th(+48) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Liberty National Golf Club in Jersey City, New Jersey, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the THE NORTHERN TRUST in 2020-2021?
Where was the 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST played?
What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST?
How many players were in the THE NORTHERN TRUST field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.