Tournaments / 2018-2019
THE NORTHERN TRUST
2019-08-08 · Liberty National Golf Club
- Winner
- Patrick Reed
- Winning score
- -16
- Field
- 121
- Field strength
- +0.489 SG
The 2018-2019 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Liberty National Golf Club, starting 8 August 2019. Patrick Reed won at 16 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of Abraham Ancer. The winning card was 66, 66, 67 and 69, and the win paid $1,665,000. Abraham Ancer finished second, and Harold Varner III and Jon Rahm tied for third. 121 players started the event. The field averaged +0.489 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 96% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 121. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Patrick Reed
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 268
- Abraham Ancer
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 269
- Harold Varner III
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 270
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 270
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 271
- Brandt Snedeker
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 63
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 272
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 272
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 272
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 272
- Ian Poulter
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 273
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 273
- Andrew Putnam
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 274
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 274
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Kevin Kisner
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Patrick Cantlay
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 274
- Troy Merritt
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 62
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 274
- Ryan Moore
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 275
- Webb Simpson
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Wyndham Clark
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 275
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 84 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.331
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 21.9
Grade is this event’s percentile (54th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Rose | 1st | 10th |
| Dustin Johnson | 2nd | 24th |
| Rory McIlroy | 3rd | 6th |
| Justin Thomas | 4th | 12th |
| Patrick Cantlay | 5th | 12th |
| Brooks Koepka | 6th | 30th |
| Webb Simpson | 7th | 18th |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 8th | 43rd |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 9th | 30th |
| Adam Scott | 10th | 5th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Molinari | 13th | 82nd(+69) |
| Cameron Champ | 84th | 21st(−63) |
| Harold Varner III | 65th | 3rd(−62) |
| Troy Merritt | 74th | 12th(−62) |
| Adam Schenk | 78th | 24th(−54) |
| Kevin Tway | 73rd | 24th(−49) |
| Wyndham Clark | 64th | 18th(−46) |
| Corey Conners | 66th | 21st(−45) |
| Andrew Landry | 75th | 30th(−45) |
| Kevin Na | 33rd | 77th(+44) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Liberty National Golf Club in Jersey City, New Jersey, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the THE NORTHERN TRUST in 2018-2019?
Where was the 2018-2019 THE NORTHERN TRUST played?
What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 THE NORTHERN TRUST?
How many players were in the THE NORTHERN TRUST field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.