OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

The Honda Classic

2022-02-24 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner
Sepp Straka
Winning score
-10
Field
142
Field strength
+0.001 SG

The 2021-2022 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 24 February 2022. Sepp Straka won at 10 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Shane Lowry. The winning card was 71, 64, 69 and 66, and the win paid $1,440,000. Shane Lowry finished second, and Kurt Kitayama was third. 142 players started the event. The field averaged +0.001 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.336
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (55th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Daniel Berger1st4th
Louis Oosthuizen2nd30th
Billy Horschel3rd16th
Brooks Koepka4th16th
Shane Lowry5th2nd
Ian Poulter6th30th
Chris Kirk7th7th
Russell Knox8th55th
Alex Noren9th5th
Cameron Young10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kurt Kitayama70th3rd(−67)
Ryan Palmer12th70th(+58)
Russell Knox8th55th(+47)
Lee Hodges55th9th(−46)
Aaron Rai25th66th(+41)
Adam Svensson50th9th(−41)
John Huh48th9th(−39)
Beau Hossler54th16th(−38)
Callum Tarren68th30th(−38)
Brendon Todd11th48th(+37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2021-2022?

Sepp Straka won the 2021-2022 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 10 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 The Honda Classic played?

The 2021-2022 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 24 February 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 10 under par (270 strokes), posted by Sepp Straka.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

142 players started the 2021-2022 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.