OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

The Honda Classic

2021-03-18 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner
Matt Jones
Winning score
-12
Field
140
Field strength
-0.091 SG

The 2020-2021 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 18 March 2021. Matt Jones won at 12 under par (268), 5 strokes ahead of Brandon Hagy. The winning card was 61, 70, 69 and 68, and the win paid $1,260,000. Brandon Hagy finished second. 140 players started the event. The field averaged -0.091 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 140. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 66 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.353
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (60th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Russell Henley1st3rd
Sungjae Im2nd8th
Adam Scott3rd13th
Joaquin Niemann4th25th
Cameron Tringale5th13th
Talor Gooch6th46th
Shane Lowry7th36th
Chris Kirk8th25th
Cam Davis9th33rd
Kevin Streelman10th36th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler14th65th(+51)
Camilo Villegas59th8th(−51)
Brandon Hagy51st2nd(−49)
Robert Streb57th13th(−44)
Talor Gooch6th46th(+40)
Chase Seiffert43rd3rd(−40)
C.T. Pan42nd3rd(−39)
Kevin Chappell52nd13th(−39)
Sam Ryder44th8th(−36)
Erik van Rooyen25th60th(+35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2020-2021?

Matt Jones won the 2020-2021 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 The Honda Classic played?

The 2020-2021 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 18 March 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 12 under par (268 strokes), posted by Matt Jones.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

140 players started the 2020-2021 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.