OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

The Genesis Invitational

2025-02-13 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)

Winner
Ludvig Åberg
Winning score
-12
Field
71
Field strength
+0.459 SG

The 2025 The Genesis Invitational was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 13 February 2025. Ludvig Åberg won at 12 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Maverick McNealy. The winning card was 74, 66, 70 and 66, and the win paid $4,000,000. Maverick McNealy finished second, and Patrick Rodgers and Scottie Scheffler tied for third. 71 players started the event. The field averaged +0.459 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 97% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 71. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 54 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.139
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (7th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st3rd
Rory McIlroy2nd17th
Collin Morikawa3rd17th
Ludvig Åberg4th1st
Hideki Matsuyama5th13th
Justin Thomas6th9th
Tommy Fleetwood7th5th
Russell Henley8th39th
Adam Scott9th37th
Patrick Cantlay10th5th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Rodgers50th3rd(−47)
Nick Taylor49th9th(−40)
Jake Knapp54th17th(−37)
Taylor Pendrith14th50th(+36)
Nick Dunlap53rd17th(−36)
Andrew Novak46th13th(−33)
Russell Henley8th39th(+31)
Jason Day19th50th(+31)
Daniel Berger43rd12th(−31)
Kevin Yu48th17th(−31)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Genesis Invitational in 2025?

Ludvig Åberg won the 2025 The Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2025 The Genesis Invitational played?

The 2025 The Genesis Invitational was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 13 February 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 The Genesis Invitational?

The winning score was 12 under par (276 strokes), posted by Ludvig Åberg.

How many players were in the The Genesis Invitational field?

71 players started the 2025 The Genesis Invitational. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.