OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT

2021-10-14 · The Summit Club

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-25
Field
74
Field strength
+0.566 SG

The 2021-2022 THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT was played at The Summit Club, starting 14 October 2021. Rory McIlroy won at 25 under par (263), 1 stroke ahead of Collin Morikawa. The winning card was 68, 67, 62 and 66, and the win paid $1,755,000. Collin Morikawa finished second, and Keith Mitchell and Rickie Fowler tied for third. 74 players started the event. The field averaged +0.566 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 74. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.192
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (14th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele1st18th
Justin Thomas2nd18th
Dustin Johnson3rd45th
Collin Morikawa4th2nd
Viktor Hovland5th18th
Rory McIlroy6th1st
Webb Simpson7th14th
Louis Oosthuizen8th38th
Abraham Ancer9th14th
Tony Finau10th45th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Keith Mitchell67th3rd(−64)
Robert Streb69th9th(−60)
Rickie Fowler59th3rd(−56)
Harry Higgs65th9th(−56)
Patrick Reed15th68th(+53)
Brian Harman28th72nd(+44)
Dustin Johnson3rd45th(+42)
Hideki Matsuyama18th59th(+41)
Sung Kang72nd32nd(−40)
Charley Hoffman29th68th(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at The Summit Club in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT in 2021-2022?

Rory McIlroy won the 2021-2022 THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT at The Summit Club, finishing 25 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT played?

The 2021-2022 THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT was played at The Summit Club, starting 14 October 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT?

The winning score was 25 under par (263 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT field?

74 players started the 2021-2022 THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.