OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK

2020-10-15 · Shadow Creek Golf Course

Winner
Jason Kokrak
Winning score
-20
Field
75
Field strength
+0.476 SG

The 2020-2021 THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK was played at Shadow Creek Golf Course, starting 15 October 2020. Jason Kokrak won at 20 under par (268), 2 strokes ahead of Xander Schauffele. The winning card was 70, 66, 68 and 64, and the win paid $1,755,000. Xander Schauffele finished second, and Russell Henley and Tyrrell Hatton tied for third. 75 players started the event. The field averaged +0.476 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 96% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 75. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.288
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (39th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st21st
Justin Thomas2nd12th
Jon Rahm3rd17th
Patrick Cantlay4th38th
Xander Schauffele5th2nd
Hideki Matsuyama6th21st
Daniel Berger7th28th
Brooks Koepka8th28th
Tyrrell Hatton9th3rd
Gary Woodland10th72nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Gary Woodland10th72nd(+62)
Paul Casey11th69th(+58)
Matthew Wolff25th73rd(+48)
Talor Gooch53rd5th(−48)
Robby Shelton69th21st(−48)
Harry Higgs65th21st(−44)
Danny Lee64th21st(−43)
Mark Hubbard59th17th(−42)
Alex Noren35th76th(+41)
Richy Werenski68th28th(−40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Shadow Creek Golf Course in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK in 2020-2021?

Jason Kokrak won the 2020-2021 THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK at Shadow Creek Golf Course, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK played?

The 2020-2021 THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK was played at Shadow Creek Golf Course, starting 15 October 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Jason Kokrak.

How many players were in the THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK field?

75 players started the 2020-2021 THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.