OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

2025-05-01 · TPC Craig Ranch

Winner
Scottie Scheffler
Winning score
-31
Field
149
Field strength
-0.003 SG

The 2025 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 1 May 2025. Scottie Scheffler won at 31 under par (253), 8 strokes ahead of Erik van Rooyen. The winning card was 61, 63, 66 and 63, and the win paid $1,782,000. Erik van Rooyen finished second, and Sam Stevens was third. 149 players started the event. The field averaged -0.003 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 149. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.195
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (15th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st1st
Sam Burns2nd5th
Si Woo Kim3rd15th
Sungjae Im4th33rd
Doug Ghim5th33rd
Byeong Hun An6th60th
Jordan Spieth7th4th
Stephan Jaeger8th56th
Eric Cole9th5th
Victor Perez10th60th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Will Gordon62nd5th(−57)
Byeong Hun An6th60th(+54)
Victor Perez10th60th(+50)
Takumi Kanaya54th5th(−49)
Stephan Jaeger8th56th(+48)
Beau Hossler17th65th(+48)
Antoine Rozner60th13th(−47)
Cameron Champ59th15th(−44)
Matt Kuchar13th56th(+43)
Adam Schenk47th5th(−42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson in 2025?

Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch, finishing 31 under par.

Where was the 2025 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson played?

The 2025 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 1 May 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 31 under par (253 strokes), posted by Scottie Scheffler.

How many players were in the THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson field?

149 players started the 2025 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.