OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

The American Express

2020-01-16 · Pete Dye Stadium Course

Winner
Andrew Landry
Winning score
-26
Field
155
Field strength
-0.048 SG

The 2019-2020 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 16 January 2020. Andrew Landry won at 26 under par (262), 2 strokes ahead of Abraham Ancer. The winning card was 66, 64, 65 and 67, and the win paid $1,206,000. Abraham Ancer finished second, and Scottie Scheffler was third. 155 players started the event. The field averaged -0.048 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.191
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (14th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Sungjae Im1st10th
Paul Casey2nd21st
Rickie Fowler3rd10th
Vaughn Taylor4th43rd
Abraham Ancer5th2nd
Rory Sabbatini6th48th
Russell Knox7th37th
Denny McCarthy8th48th
Tony Finau9th14th
J.T. Poston10th37th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sebastian Cappelen72nd6th(−66)
Grayson Murray68th10th(−58)
Sam Burns58th6th(−52)
Michael Gligic73rd21st(−52)
Tom Hoge55th6th(−49)
Andrew Landry49th1st(−48)
Brian Stuard25th72nd(+47)
K.H. Lee66th21st(−45)
D.J. Trahan24th68th(+44)
Sepp Straka47th4th(−43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The American Express in 2019-2020?

Andrew Landry won the 2019-2020 The American Express at Pete Dye Stadium Course, finishing 26 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 The American Express played?

The 2019-2020 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 16 January 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 The American Express?

The winning score was 26 under par (262 strokes), posted by Andrew Landry.

How many players were in the The American Express field?

155 players started the 2019-2020 The American Express. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.