OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Desert Classic

2019-01-17 · Pete Dye Stadium Course

Winner
Adam Long
Winning score
-26
Field
155
Field strength
+0.022 SG

The 2018-2019 Desert Classic was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 17 January 2019. Adam Long won at 26 under par (262), 1 stroke ahead of Adam Hadwin. The winning card was 63, 71, 63 and 65, and the win paid $1,062,000. Adam Hadwin and Phil Mickelson tied for second. 155 players started the event. The field averaged +0.022 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 81% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.204
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (17th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st34th
Patrick Cantlay2nd9th
Phil Mickelson3rd2nd
Zach Johnson4th28th
Jon Rahm5th6th
Charles Howell III6th34th
Chez Reavie7th28th
Daniel Berger8th12th
Andrew Putnam9th34th
Adam Hadwin10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Adam Long71st1st(−70)
Roger Sloan63rd12th(−51)
Steve Marino67th18th(−49)
Wyndham Clark66th18th(−48)
Dominic Bozzelli50th5th(−45)
Talor Gooch48th4th(−44)
Sean O'Hair52nd9th(−43)
Kevin Kisner15th57th(+42)
Michael Thompson51st9th(−42)
Adam Svensson59th18th(−41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Desert Classic in 2018-2019?

Adam Long won the 2018-2019 Desert Classic at Pete Dye Stadium Course, finishing 26 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Desert Classic played?

The 2018-2019 Desert Classic was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 17 January 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Desert Classic?

The winning score was 26 under par (262 strokes), posted by Adam Long.

How many players were in the Desert Classic field?

155 players started the 2018-2019 Desert Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.