Tournaments / 2017-2018

RBC Heritage

2018-04-12 · Harbour Town Golf Links

Winner: Satoshi Kodaira
Winning score: -12
Field: 130
Field strength: +0.141 SG

The 2017-2018 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 12 April 2018. Satoshi Kodaira won at 12 under par (272). The winning card was 73, 63, 70 and 66, and the win paid $1,206,000. Si Woo Kim finished second, and Bryson DeChambeau and Luke List tied for third. 130 players started the event. The field averaged +0.141 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 130. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


P1	Satoshi Kodaira	73	63	70	66	272	-12
P2	Si Woo Kim	68	65	68	71	272	-12
T3	Bryson DeChambeau	68	64	75	66	273	-11
T3	Luke List	70	64	67	72	273	-11
T5	Billy Horschel	66	69	67	72	274	-10
T5	Webb Simpson	69	68	69	68	274	-10
T7	Bill Haas	69	66	71	69	275	-9
T7	Byeong Hun An	73	67	66	69	275	-9
T7	Chesson Hadley	66	68	69	72	275	-9
T7	Ian Poulter	69	64	67	75	275	-9
T7	Kevin Kisner	69	68	66	72	275	-9
T7	Kevin Streelman	70	70	67	68	275	-9
T7	Patrick Cantlay	67	72	68	68	275	-9
T14	Jonas Blixt	67	73	67	69	276	-8
T14	Matt Fitzpatrick	69	71	69	67	276	-8
T16	Beau Hossler	70	69	70	68	277	-7
T16	Dustin Johnson	69	69	72	67	277	-7
T16	Emiliano Grillo	72	66	69	70	277	-7
T16	J.J. Henry	72	69	69	67	277	-7
T16	Ryan Moore	69	69	67	72	277	-7

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade

Rank correlation: +0.315
Top-20 hit rate: 45%
Top-10 avg model rank: 28.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (47th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Dustin Johnson	1st	16th
Matt Kuchar	2nd	23rd
Patrick Cantlay	3rd	7th
Webb Simpson	4th	5th
Francesco Molinari	5th	49th
Charley Hoffman	6th	23rd
Brian Harman	7th	23rd
Zach Johnson	8th	42nd
Ryan Moore	9th	16th
Lucas Glover	10th	32nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Satoshi Kodaira	74th	1st(−73)
Si Woo Kim	62nd	2nd(−60)
Jonas Blixt	73rd	14th(−59)
J.J. Henry	70th	16th(−54)
Billy Horschel	56th	5th(−51)
Francesco Molinari	5th	49th(+44)
Ted Potter, Jr.	60th	16th(−44)
Charles Howell III	13th	55th(+42)
Jim Furyk	30th	70th(+40)
Rod Pampling	72nd	32nd(−40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Heritage in 2017-2018?

Satoshi Kodaira won the 2017-2018 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 RBC Heritage played?

The 2017-2018 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 12 April 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 RBC Heritage?

The winning score was 12 under par (272 strokes), posted by Satoshi Kodaira.

How many players were in the RBC Heritage field?

130 players started the 2017-2018 RBC Heritage. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.