Tournaments / 2013

RBC Heritage

2013-04-18 · Harbour Town Golf Links

Winner: Graeme McDowell
Winning score: -9
Field: 138
Field strength: +0.071 SG

The 2013 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 18 April 2013. Graeme McDowell won at 9 under par (275). The winning card was 71, 67, 68 and 69, and the win paid $1,044,000. Webb Simpson finished second, and Kevin Streelman and Luke Donald tied for third. 138 players started the event. The field averaged +0.071 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 93% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 138. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


P1	Graeme McDowell	71	67	68	69	275	-9
P2	Webb Simpson	68	71	65	71	275	-9
T3	Kevin Streelman	66	70	69	72	277	-7
T3	Luke Donald	69	68	71	69	277	-7
5	Jerry Kelly	69	72	66	71	278	-6
T6	Charley Hoffman	66	70	66	77	279	-5
T6	Chris Stroud	70	70	69	70	279	-5
T6	Russell Henley	73	70	67	69	279	-5
T9	Billy Horschel	71	68	68	74	281	-3
T9	Brendon de Jonge	70	69	67	75	281	-3
T9	Camilo Villegas	68	71	68	74	281	-3
T9	Jordan Spieth	70	69	69	73	281	-3
T9	Marc Leishman	67	71	71	72	281	-3
T9	Mark Wilson	69	75	67	70	281	-3
T9	Richard Lee	68	71	69	73	281	-3
T9	Rory Sabbatini	69	69	72	71	281	-3
T9	Trevor Immelman	72	72	66	71	281	-3
T18	Johnson Wagner	67	71	71	73	282	-2
T18	Justin Hicks	69	70	68	75	282	-2
T18	K.J. Choi	70	71	71	70	282	-2

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 88 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade

Rank correlation: +0.354
Top-20 hit rate: 30%
Top-10 avg model rank: 23.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (60th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Jim Furyk	1st	42nd
Jason Dufner	2nd	35th
Brandt Snedeker	3rd	59th
Matt Kuchar	4th	35th
Graeme McDowell	5th	1st
Luke Donald	6th	3rd
Webb Simpson	7th	2nd
Robert Garrigus	8th	24th
Brendon de Jonge	9th	9th
Zach Johnson	10th	48th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Hunter Mahan	15th	91st(+76)
Bo Van Pelt	11th	71st(+60)
Brandt Snedeker	3rd	59th(+56)
Trevor Immelman	65th	9th(−56)
Darron Stiles	79th	24th(−55)
Jonas Blixt	25th	78th(+53)
Justin Bolli	87th	35th(−52)
Rory Sabbatini	60th	9th(−51)
Nicolas Colsaerts	39th	88th(+49)
Steve LeBrun	67th	18th(−49)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Heritage in 2013?

Graeme McDowell won the 2013 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2013 RBC Heritage played?

The 2013 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 18 April 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 RBC Heritage?

The winning score was 9 under par (275 strokes), posted by Graeme McDowell.

How many players were in the RBC Heritage field?

138 players started the 2013 RBC Heritage. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.