OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2026

RBC Canadian Open

2026-06-11 · TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course

Winner
Bud Cauley
Winning score
-17
Field
135
Field strength
+0.004 SG

The 2026 RBC Canadian Open was played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course, starting 11 June 2026. Bud Cauley won at 17 under par (263), 2 strokes ahead of Matt Fitzpatrick. The winning card was 69, 63, 66 and 65, and the win paid $1,764,000. Matt Fitzpatrick finished second, and Viktor Hovland was third. 135 players started the event. The field averaged +0.004 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 135. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.216
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
34.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (20th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Sam Burns1st20th
Collin Morikawa2nd29th
Tommy Fleetwood3rd11th
Shane Lowry4th29th
Viktor Hovland5th3rd
Robert MacIntyre6th15th
Matt Fitzpatrick7th2nd
Harry Hall8th40th
Nick Taylor9th65th
Keith Mitchell10th29th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jimmy Stanger68th4th(−64)
Brice Garnett63rd4th(−59)
Nick Taylor9th65th(+56)
Jackson Suber52nd4th(−48)
Chandler Phillips60th15th(−45)
Kevin Roy27th71st(+44)
Kristoffer Reitan17th60th(+43)
Austin Eckroat30th73rd(+43)
Aldrich Potgieter50th8th(−42)
Michael Thorbjornsen13th54th(+41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course in Caledon, Ontario, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2026?

Bud Cauley won the 2026 RBC Canadian Open at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course, finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2026 RBC Canadian Open played?

The 2026 RBC Canadian Open was played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course, starting 11 June 2026.

What was the winning score at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

The winning score was 17 under par (263 strokes), posted by Bud Cauley.

How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?

135 players started the 2026 RBC Canadian Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.