OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

RBC Canadian Open

2025-06-05 · TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course

Winner
Ryan Fox
Winning score
-18
Field
138
Field strength
-0.016 SG

The 2025 RBC Canadian Open was played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course, starting 5 June 2025. Ryan Fox won at 18 under par (262). The winning card was 66, 66, 64 and 66, and the win paid $1,764,000. Sam Burns finished second, and Kevin Yu was third. 138 players started the event. The field averaged -0.016 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 138. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 66 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.283
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (38th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Ludvig Åberg1st13th
Corey Conners2nd27th
Shane Lowry3rd13th
Robert MacIntyre4th36th
Sam Burns5th2nd
Keith Mitchell6th27th
Taylor Pendrith7th27th
Harry Hall8th24th
Wyndham Clark9th59th
Ryo Hisatsune10th47th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Wyndham Clark9th59th(+50)
David Skinns57th9th(−48)
Cameron Champ53rd9th(−44)
Jackson Suber62nd18th(−44)
Danny Willett56th13th(−43)
Justin Lower27th68th(+41)
Noah Goodwin58th18th(−40)
Ryo Hisatsune10th47th(+37)
Matteo Manassero42nd6th(−36)
John Pak61st27th(−34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course in Caledon, Ontario, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2025?

Ryan Fox won the 2025 RBC Canadian Open at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2025 RBC Canadian Open played?

The 2025 RBC Canadian Open was played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley - North Course, starting 5 June 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?

The winning score was 18 under par (262 strokes), posted by Ryan Fox.

How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?

138 players started the 2025 RBC Canadian Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.