OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

RBC Canadian Open

2017-07-27 · Glen Abbey GC

Winner
Jhonattan Vegas
Winning score
-21
Field
143
Field strength
-0.044 SG

The 2016-2017 RBC Canadian Open was played at Glen Abbey GC, starting 27 July 2017. Jhonattan Vegas won at 21 under par (267). The winning card was 66, 69, 67 and 65, and the win paid $1,080,000. Charley Hoffman finished second, and Ian Poulter was third. 143 players started the event. The field averaged -0.044 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 143. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.372
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (65th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st8th
Matt Kuchar2nd32nd
Bubba Watson3rd42nd
Charley Hoffman4th2nd
Chez Reavie5th23rd
Jim Furyk6th75th
Chad Campbell7th32nd
Stewart Cink8th62nd
Kevin Chappell9th8th
Gary Woodland10th4th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jim Furyk6th75th(+69)
Matt Every72nd14th(−58)
Stewart Cink8th62nd(+54)
Kramer Hickok71st19th(−52)
Andres Gonzales58th10th(−48)
Vijay Singh59th14th(−45)
Chris Kirk26th70th(+44)
Rory Sabbatini63rd23rd(−40)
Bubba Watson3rd42nd(+39)
C.T. Pan52nd14th(−38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Glen Abbey GC in Oakville,Ontario, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2016-2017?

Jhonattan Vegas won the 2016-2017 RBC Canadian Open at Glen Abbey GC, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 RBC Canadian Open played?

The 2016-2017 RBC Canadian Open was played at Glen Abbey GC, starting 27 July 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 RBC Canadian Open?

The winning score was 21 under par (267 strokes), posted by Jhonattan Vegas.

How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?

143 players started the 2016-2017 RBC Canadian Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.