Tournaments / 2015-2016
RBC Canadian Open
2016-07-21 · Glen Abbey GC
- Winner
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Winning score
- -12
- Field
- 147
- Field strength
- -0.051 SG
The 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open was played at Glen Abbey GC, starting 21 July 2016. Jhonattan Vegas won at 12 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Dustin Johnson. The winning card was 73, 69, 70 and 64, and the win paid $1,062,000. Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm and Martin Laird tied for second. 147 players started the event. The field averaged -0.051 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 147. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 64
- Total
- 276
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 277
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Martin Laird
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Alex Cejka
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Brandt Snedeker
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 278
- Ricky Barnes
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 278
- Steve Wheatcroft
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 77
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Ben Crane
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 279
- Geoff Ogilvy
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 63
- Total
- 279
- Matt Kuchar
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Jim Furyk
- Pos
- 13
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 280
- Cameron Tringale
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Chez Reavie
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 281
- Chris Kirk
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 281
- Hudson Swafford
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 76
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 281
- Jimmy Walker
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 281
- Luke List
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 77
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 281
- Michael Thompson
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 281
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 79 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.476
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 26.4
Grade is this event’s percentile (90th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Day | 1st | 14th |
| Matt Kuchar | 2nd | 9th |
| Jim Furyk | 3rd | 13th |
| Brandt Snedeker | 4th | 5th |
| Dustin Johnson | 5th | 2nd |
| William McGirt | 6th | 59th |
| Ryan Palmer | 7th | 43rd |
| Jimmy Walker | 8th | 14th |
| Kevin Kisner | 9th | 26th |
| Chad Campbell | 10th | 26th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Geoff Ogilvy | 67th | 9th(−58) |
| Tony Finau | 13th | 70th(+57) |
| William McGirt | 6th | 59th(+53) |
| Michael Thompson | 66th | 14th(−52) |
| Steve Wheatcroft | 55th | 5th(−50) |
| Kelly Kraft | 74th | 26th(−48) |
| Roberto Castro | 20th | 65th(+45) |
| Rhein Gibson | 76th | 32nd(−44) |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 44th | 1st(−43) |
| Patton Kizzire | 30th | 70th(+40) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Glen Abbey GC in Oakville,Ontario, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2015-2016?
Where was the 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open played?
What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open?
How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.