OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

PGA Championship

2015-08-13 · Whistling Straits

Winner
Jason Day
Winning score
-20
Field
156
Field strength
+0.545 SG

The 2014-2015 PGA Championship was played at Whistling Straits, starting 13 August 2015. Jason Day won at 20 under par (268), 3 strokes ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 68, 67, 66 and 67, and the win paid $1,800,000. Jordan Spieth finished second, and Branden Grace was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.545 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 57% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.405
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (74th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st17th
Jim Furyk2nd30th
Justin Rose3rd4th
Sergio Garcia4th54th
Hideki Matsuyama5th37th
Jordan Spieth6th2nd
Jason Day7th1st
Bubba Watson8th21st
Henrik Stenson9th25th
Dustin Johnson10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Anirban Lahiri71st5th(−66)
George Coetzee72nd7th(−65)
Sergio Garcia4th54th(+50)
Bill Haas15th65th(+50)
Tyrrell Hatton74th25th(−49)
Keegan Bradley14th61st(+47)
Hiroshi Iwata68th21st(−47)
Victor Dubuisson61st18th(−43)
David Lingmerth53rd12th(−41)
Branden Grace41st3rd(−38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Whistling Straits in Sheboygan, Wisconsin, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2014-2015?

Jason Day won the 2014-2015 PGA Championship at Whistling Straits, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 PGA Championship played?

The 2014-2015 PGA Championship was played at Whistling Straits, starting 13 August 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2014-2015 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.