OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

PGA Championship

2014-08-07 · Valhalla Golf Club

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-16
Field
156
Field strength
+0.543 SG

The 2013-2014 PGA Championship was played at Valhalla Golf Club, starting 7 August 2014. Rory McIlroy won at 16 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of Phil Mickelson. The winning card was 66, 67, 67 and 68, and the win paid $1,800,000. Phil Mickelson finished second, and Henrik Stenson and Rickie Fowler tied for third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.543 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 59% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.272
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (33rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st24th
Adam Scott2nd15th
Sergio Garcia3rd35th
Rory McIlroy4th1st
Jim Furyk5th5th
Henrik Stenson6th3rd
Charl Schwartzel7th15th
Phil Mickelson8th2nd
Bubba Watson9th64th
Steve Stricker10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Mikko Ilonen73rd7th(−66)
Bernd Wiesberger71st15th(−56)
Bubba Watson9th64th(+55)
Zach Johnson16th69th(+53)
Brendon Todd30th72nd(+42)
Joost Luiten68th26th(−42)
Alexander Levy72nd30th(−42)
Thorbjørn Olesen69th30th(−39)
Kenny Perry65th27th(−38)
Marc Warren52nd15th(−37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2013-2014?

Rory McIlroy won the 2013-2014 PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club, finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 PGA Championship played?

The 2013-2014 PGA Championship was played at Valhalla Golf Club, starting 7 August 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 16 under par (268 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2013-2014 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.