OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

OHL Classic at Mayakoba

2017-11-09 · El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba

Winner
Patton Kizzire
Winning score
-19
Field
130
Field strength
+0.022 SG

The 2017-2018 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 9 November 2017. Patton Kizzire won at 19 under par (265), 1 stroke ahead of Rickie Fowler. The winning card was 62, 70, 66 and 67, and the win paid $1,278,000. Rickie Fowler finished second, and Si Woo Kim was third. 130 players started the event. The field averaged +0.022 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 130. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.329
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (52nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st2nd
Ryan Moore2nd6th
Gary Woodland3rd34th
Pat Perez4th34th
Chez Reavie5th14th
Zach Johnson6th23rd
Emiliano Grillo7th9th
Jason Kokrak8th45th
Charles Howell III9th4th
Kevin Streelman10th20th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
John Oda76th8th(−68)
Martin Piller67th4th(−63)
Patton Kizzire56th1st(−55)
Aaron Baddeley20th74th(+54)
Abraham Ancer62nd9th(−53)
Roberto Díaz78th25th(−53)
Si Woo Kim52nd3rd(−49)
Jhonattan Vegas15th61st(+46)
Ricky Barnes31st77th(+46)
Joel Dahmen66th23rd(−43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba in Riviera Maya, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the OHL Classic at Mayakoba in 2017-2018?

Patton Kizzire won the 2017-2018 OHL Classic at Mayakoba at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 OHL Classic at Mayakoba played?

The 2017-2018 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 9 November 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 OHL Classic at Mayakoba?

The winning score was 19 under par (265 strokes), posted by Patton Kizzire.

How many players were in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba field?

130 players started the 2017-2018 OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.