OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

OHL Classic at Mayakoba

2016-11-10 · El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba

Winner
Pat Perez
Winning score
-21
Field
130
Field strength
-0.015 SG

The 2016-2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 10 November 2016. Pat Perez won at 21 under par (263), 2 strokes ahead of Gary Woodland. The winning card was 68, 66, 62 and 67, and the win paid $1,260,002. Gary Woodland finished second, and Russell Knox was third. 130 players started the event. The field averaged -0.015 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 130. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.471
Top-20 hit rate
75%
Top-10 avg model rank
11.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (89th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Russell Knox1st3rd
Keegan Bradley2nd15th
Webb Simpson3rd24th
Jon Rahm4th50th
Scott Piercy5th4th
Gary Woodland6th2nd
Chris Kirk7th7th
Marc Leishman8th24th
Emiliano Grillo9th10th
Jason Kokrak10th15th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Oscar Fraustro70th13th(−57)
Jon Rahm4th50th(+46)
Brian Harman13th55th(+42)
J.J. Spaun69th28th(−41)
Cam Davis55th15th(−40)
Brian Gay68th28th(−40)
Bryson DeChambeau27th66th(+39)
Vaughn Taylor22nd60th(+38)
John Peterson53rd15th(−38)
Steve Marino66th28th(−38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba in Riviera Maya, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the OHL Classic at Mayakoba in 2016-2017?

Pat Perez won the 2016-2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba played?

The 2016-2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 10 November 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by Pat Perez.

How many players were in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba field?

130 players started the 2016-2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.