OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

John Deere Classic

2015-07-09 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Jordan Spieth
Winning score
-20
Field
147
Field strength
-0.042 SG

The 2014-2015 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 9 July 2015. Jordan Spieth won at 20 under par (264). The winning card was 71, 64, 61 and 68, and the win paid $846,000. Tom Gillis finished second, and Danny Lee and Zach Johnson tied for third. 147 players started the event. The field averaged -0.042 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 78% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 147. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.277
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (36th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Zach Johnson1st3rd
Ryan Moore2nd24th
Steve Stricker3rd35th
Jordan Spieth4th1st
Shawn Stefani5th35th
Jerry Kelly6th17th
Harris English7th72nd
Kevin Kisner8th35th
Robert Streb9th14th
Jason Bohn10th12th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Harris English7th72nd(+65)
Tom Gillis67th2nd(−65)
David Hearn13th67th(+54)
Roger Sloan72nd18th(−54)
Johnson Wagner58th5th(−53)
Boo Weekley27th69th(+42)
Pat Perez16th55th(+39)
Charles Howell III21st60th(+39)
Steve Wheatcroft46th8th(−38)
Kyle Stanley51st18th(−33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2014-2015?

Jordan Spieth won the 2014-2015 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 John Deere Classic played?

The 2014-2015 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 9 July 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 20 under par (264 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

147 players started the 2014-2015 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.