OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation

2015-01-22 · PGA West (Palmer)

Winner
Bill Haas
Winning score
-22
Field
151
Field strength
+0.062 SG

The 2014-2015 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation was played at PGA West (Palmer), starting 22 January 2015. Bill Haas won at 22 under par (266), 1 stroke ahead of Brendan Steele. The winning card was 67, 63, 69 and 67, and the win paid $1,026,000. Brendan Steele, Charley Hoffman, Matt Kuchar, Steve Wheatcroft and Sung Joon Park tied for second. 151 players started the event. The field averaged +0.062 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.236
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (24th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st2nd
Bill Haas2nd1st
Ryan Palmer3rd10th
Keegan Bradley4th48th
Webb Simpson5th7th
Chris Kirk6th56th
Kevin Na7th48th
Phil Mickelson8th24th
Graham DeLaet9th30th
Charley Hoffman10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sung Joon Park66th2nd(−64)
Steve Wheatcroft57th2nd(−55)
Lucas Glover69th15th(−54)
Chris Kirk6th56th(+50)
Colt Knost58th10th(−48)
Alex Cejka62nd15th(−47)
Scott Pinckney65th20th(−45)
Keegan Bradley4th48th(+44)
Kevin Na7th48th(+41)
Tony Finau19th59th(+40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA West (Palmer) in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation in 2014-2015?

Bill Haas won the 2014-2015 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation at PGA West (Palmer), finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation played?

The 2014-2015 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation was played at PGA West (Palmer), starting 22 January 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation?

The winning score was 22 under par (266 strokes), posted by Bill Haas.

How many players were in the Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation field?

151 players started the 2014-2015 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.