OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation

2014-01-16 · PGA West (Palmer)

Winner
Patrick Reed
Winning score
-28
Field
148
Field strength
+0.049 SG

The 2013-2014 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation was played at PGA West (Palmer), starting 16 January 2014. Patrick Reed won at 28 under par (260), 2 strokes ahead of Ryan Palmer. The winning card was 63, 63, 63 and 71, and the win paid $1,026,000. Ryan Palmer finished second, and Justin Leonard and Zach Johnson tied for third. 148 players started the event. The field averaged +0.049 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 148. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.211
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (18th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Brandt Snedeker1st58th
Zach Johnson2nd3rd
Webb Simpson3rd23rd
Keegan Bradley4th18th
Brendon de Jonge5th18th
Billy Horschel6th25th
Kevin Stadler7th78th
Rickie Fowler8th33rd
Bill Haas9th6th
Charles Howell III10th58th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Stadler7th78th(+71)
Charlie Beljan79th9th(−70)
Chad Collins76th8th(−68)
Freddie Jacobson15th76th(+61)
Brandt Snedeker1st58th(+57)
Johnson Wagner77th25th(−52)
J.J. Henry32nd82nd(+50)
Justin Leonard53rd3rd(−50)
Patrick Reed50th1st(−49)
Charles Howell III10th58th(+48)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA West (Palmer) in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation in 2013-2014?

Patrick Reed won the 2013-2014 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation at PGA West (Palmer), finishing 28 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation played?

The 2013-2014 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation was played at PGA West (Palmer), starting 16 January 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation?

The winning score was 28 under par (260 strokes), posted by Patrick Reed.

How many players were in the Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation field?

148 players started the 2013-2014 Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.