Tournaments / 2013
HP Byron Nelson Championship
2013-05-16 · TPC Four Seasons Resort
- Winner
- Sangmoon Bae
- Winning score
- -13
- Field
- 141
- Field strength
- -0.089 SG
The 2013 HP Byron Nelson Championship was played at TPC Four Seasons Resort, starting 16 May 2013. Sangmoon Bae won at 13 under par (267), 2 strokes ahead of Keegan Bradley. The winning card was 66, 66, 66 and 69, and the win paid $1,206,000. Keegan Bradley finished second, and Charl Schwartzel was third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged -0.089 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 79% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Sangmoon Bae
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 267
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 60
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 269
- Charl Schwartzel
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 63
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 270
- Justin Bolli
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 271
- Martin Kaymer
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 272
- Morgan Hoffmann
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 272
- Scott Piercy
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 272
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 273
- John Huh
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 273
- Graham DeLaet
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 274
- Ryo Ishikawa
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 274
- D.A. Points
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 275
- Marc Leishman
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Ricky Barnes
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 275
- Tom Gillis
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 63
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 76
- Total
- 275
- Ángel Cabrera
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 275
- Brendon Todd
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 276
- Charles Howell III
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 276
- Freddie Jacobson
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 276
- Harris English
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 276
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.180
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 28.0
Grade is this event’s percentile (13th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Dufner | 1st | 33rd |
| Matt Kuchar | 2nd | 33rd |
| Keegan Bradley | 3rd | 2nd |
| Charl Schwartzel | 4th | 3rd |
| Vijay Singh | 5th | 80th |
| Pat Perez | 6th | 77th |
| Jason Day | 7th | 27th |
| Ryan Palmer | 8th | 33rd |
| Freddie Jacobson | 9th | 17th |
| Jimmy Walker | 10th | 27th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Vijay Singh | 5th | 80th(+75) |
| Pat Perez | 6th | 77th(+71) |
| Justin Bolli | 67th | 4th(−63) |
| Brendon Todd | 74th | 17th(−57) |
| Brian Stuard | 25th | 77th(+52) |
| Morgan Hoffmann | 56th | 5th(−51) |
| Jordan Spieth | 18th | 68th(+50) |
| Ryo Ishikawa | 60th | 10th(−50) |
| Wes Short, Jr. | 77th | 27th(−50) |
| Ricky Barnes | 61st | 12th(−49) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at TPC Four Seasons Resort in Irving, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
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Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.