OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

FedEx St. Jude Championship

2023-08-10 · TPC Southwind

Winner
Lucas Glover
Winning score
-15
Field
70
Field strength
+0.777 SG

The 2022-2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship was played at TPC Southwind, starting 10 August 2023. Lucas Glover won at 15 under par (265). The winning card was 66, 64, 66 and 69, and the win paid $3,600,000. Patrick Cantlay finished second, and Rory McIlroy and Tommy Fleetwood tied for third. 70 players started the event. The field averaged +0.777 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 70. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.266
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (31st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st31st
Rory McIlroy2nd3rd
Patrick Cantlay3rd2nd
Jon Rahm4th37th
Xander Schauffele5th24th
Collin Morikawa6th13th
Viktor Hovland7th13th
Tony Finau8th64th
Russell Henley9th6th
Tommy Fleetwood10th3rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tony Finau8th64th(+56)
Lucas Glover57th1st(−56)
Matt Fitzpatrick11th66th(+55)
Adam Schenk58th6th(−52)
Denny McCarthy22nd66th(+44)
Beau Hossler63rd20th(−43)
Wyndham Clark25th66th(+41)
Rickie Fowler18th58th(+40)
Sam Burns14th52nd(+38)
Cam Davis43rd6th(−37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the FedEx St. Jude Championship in 2022-2023?

Lucas Glover won the 2022-2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship played?

The 2022-2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship was played at TPC Southwind, starting 10 August 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (265 strokes), posted by Lucas Glover.

How many players were in the FedEx St. Jude Championship field?

70 players started the 2022-2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.