OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

Farmers Insurance Open

2023-01-25 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)

Winner
Max Homa
Winning score
-13
Field
152
Field strength
-0.007 SG

The 2022-2023 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 25 January 2023. Max Homa won at 13 under par (275), 2 strokes ahead of Keegan Bradley. The winning card was 68, 70, 71 and 66, and the win paid $1,566,000. Keegan Bradley finished second, and Collin Morikawa was third. 152 players started the event. The field averaged -0.007 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.452
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
10.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (86th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st7th
Tony Finau2nd9th
Justin Thomas3rd25th
Xander Schauffele4th13th
Collin Morikawa5th3rd
Sungjae Im6th4th
Max Homa7th1st
Hideki Matsuyama8th9th
Keegan Bradley9th2nd
Justin Rose10th18th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jimmy Walker69th13th(−56)
Brent Grant73rd25th(−48)
Sam Stevens58th13th(−45)
Taylor Pendrith16th60th(+44)
Davis Thompson28th69th(+41)
Kevin Tway59th18th(−41)
Augusto Núñez70th31st(−39)
Erik Barnes51st13th(−38)
Gary Woodland25th62nd(+37)
Sam Ryder39th4th(−35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2022-2023?

Max Homa won the 2022-2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 Farmers Insurance Open played?

The 2022-2023 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 25 January 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Farmers Insurance Open?

The winning score was 13 under par (275 strokes), posted by Max Homa.

How many players were in the Farmers Insurance Open field?

152 players started the 2022-2023 Farmers Insurance Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.