OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Farmers Insurance Open

2021-01-28 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)

Winner
Patrick Reed
Winning score
-14
Field
154
Field strength
+0.066 SG

The 2020-2021 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 28 January 2021. Patrick Reed won at 14 under par (274), 5 strokes ahead of Henrik Norlander. The winning card was 64, 72, 70 and 68, and the win paid $1,350,000. Henrik Norlander, Ryan Palmer, Tony Finau, Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele tied for second. 154 players started the event. The field averaged +0.066 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.478
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
11.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (90th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st7th
Xander Schauffele2nd2nd
Rory McIlroy3rd16th
Hideki Matsuyama4th53rd
Tony Finau5th2nd
Patrick Reed6th1st
Viktor Hovland7th2nd
Adam Scott8th10th
Ryan Palmer9th2nd
Sungjae Im10th32nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ted Potter, Jr.76th18th(−58)
Joseph Bramlett72nd18th(−54)
Hideki Matsuyama4th53rd(+49)
Robby Shelton65th16th(−49)
Sam Ryder58th10th(−48)
Byeong Hun An29th75th(+46)
John Huh23rd65th(+42)
Luke List52nd10th(−42)
Denny McCarthy33rd73rd(+40)
Rickie Fowler16th53rd(+37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2020-2021?

Patrick Reed won the 2020-2021 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Farmers Insurance Open played?

The 2020-2021 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 28 January 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Farmers Insurance Open?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by Patrick Reed.

How many players were in the Farmers Insurance Open field?

154 players started the 2020-2021 Farmers Insurance Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.