Tournaments / 2018-2019
Farmers Insurance Open
2019-01-24 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)
- Winner
- Justin Rose
- Winning score
- -21
- Field
- 154
- Field strength
- +0.1 SG
The 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 24 January 2019. Justin Rose won at 21 under par (267), 2 strokes ahead of Adam Scott. The winning card was 63, 66, 69 and 69, and the win paid $1,278,000. Adam Scott finished second, and Hideki Matsuyama and Talor Gooch tied for third. 154 players started the event. The field averaged +0.1 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 63
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 267
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 269
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 272
- Talor Gooch
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 272
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 274
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 62
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 274
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 274
- Billy Horschel
- Pos
- 8
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Cameron Smith
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 276
- Gary Woodland
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 276
- Joel Dahmen
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 276
- Scott Brown
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 276
- Bud Cauley
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Matt Jones
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Michael Thompson
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 277
- Patrick Reed
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
- Ryan Palmer
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 277
- Sepp Straka
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
- Tony Finau
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
- Charles Howell III
- Pos
- T20
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.318
- Top-20 hit rate
- 55%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 13.0
Grade is this event’s percentile (48th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Rose | 1st | 1st |
| Rickie Fowler | 2nd | 66th |
| Tony Finau | 3rd | 13th |
| Jon Rahm | 4th | 5th |
| Jordan Spieth | 5th | 35th |
| Jason Day | 6th | 5th |
| Rory McIlroy | 7th | 5th |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 8th | 3rd |
| Tiger Woods | 9th | 20th |
| Emiliano Grillo | 10th | 52nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rickie Fowler | 2nd | 66th(+64) |
| Sepp Straka | 77th | 13th(−64) |
| Scott Brown | 63rd | 9th(−54) |
| Doug Ghim | 72nd | 20th(−52) |
| Danny Willett | 76th | 25th(−51) |
| Matt Jones | 59th | 13th(−46) |
| C.T. Pan | 22nd | 66th(+44) |
| Nick Watney | 29th | 72nd(+43) |
| Emiliano Grillo | 10th | 52nd(+42) |
| Brandt Snedeker | 20th | 62nd(+42) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2018-2019?
Where was the 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open played?
What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open?
How many players were in the Farmers Insurance Open field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.