OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Farmers Insurance Open

2017-01-26 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)

Winner
Jon Rahm
Winning score
-13
Field
152
Field strength
+0.11 SG

The 2016-2017 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 26 January 2017. Jon Rahm won at 13 under par (275), 3 strokes ahead of C.T. Pan. The winning card was 72, 69, 69 and 65, and the win paid $1,206,000. C.T. Pan and Charles Howell III tied for second. 152 players started the event. The field averaged +0.11 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 79 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.328
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (52nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st33rd
Justin Rose2nd4th
Phil Mickelson3rd14th
Paul Casey4th28th
J.B. Holmes5th33rd
Brandt Snedeker6th9th
Gary Woodland7th20th
Brendan Steele8th20th
Louis Oosthuizen9th41st
Francesco Molinari10th14th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
C.T. Pan66th2nd(−64)
J.J. Spaun72nd9th(−63)
Ollie Schniederjans70th9th(−61)
Rory Sabbatini71st14th(−57)
Martin Laird21st74th(+53)
Michael Thompson61st14th(−47)
Billy Horschel18th64th(+46)
Tyrone Van Aswegen64th20th(−44)
Kevin Streelman24th67th(+43)
Billy Hurley III34th77th(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2016-2017?

Jon Rahm won the 2016-2017 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Farmers Insurance Open played?

The 2016-2017 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 26 January 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Farmers Insurance Open?

The winning score was 13 under par (275 strokes), posted by Jon Rahm.

How many players were in the Farmers Insurance Open field?

152 players started the 2016-2017 Farmers Insurance Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.