OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Farmers Insurance Open

2015-02-05 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)

Winner
Jason Day
Winning score
-9
Field
154
Field strength
+0.037 SG

The 2014-2015 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 5 February 2015. Jason Day won at 9 under par (279). The winning card was 73, 65, 71 and 70, and the win paid $1,134,000. Harris English, J.B. Holmes and Scott Stallings tied for second. 154 players started the event. The field averaged +0.037 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.223
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (22nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jason Day1st1st
Rickie Fowler2nd61st
Jimmy Walker3rd7th
Keegan Bradley4th41st
Bill Haas5th19th
Gary Woodland6th45th
Brooks Koepka7th41st
Brandt Snedeker8th19th
Marc Leishman9th27th
Chris Kirk10th32nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Alex Prugh70th5th(−65)
Rickie Fowler2nd61st(+59)
Carlos Ortiz67th11th(−56)
Cameron Tringale19th69th(+50)
Scott Stallings52nd2nd(−50)
Michael Thompson61st11th(−50)
Spencer Levin54th11th(−43)
Chad Collins60th17th(−43)
Lucas Glover65th24th(−41)
Gary Woodland6th45th(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2014-2015?

Jason Day won the 2014-2015 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Farmers Insurance Open played?

The 2014-2015 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 5 February 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Farmers Insurance Open?

The winning score was 9 under par (279 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the Farmers Insurance Open field?

154 players started the 2014-2015 Farmers Insurance Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.