OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

Farmers Insurance Open

2013-01-24 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)

Winner
Tiger Woods
Winning score
-14
Field
146
Field strength
-0.03 SG

The 2013 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 24 January 2013. Tiger Woods won at 14 under par (274), 4 strokes ahead of Brandt Snedeker. The winning card was 68, 65, 69 and 72, and the win paid $1,098,000. Brandt Snedeker and Josh Teater tied for second. 146 players started the event. The field averaged -0.03 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 81 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.337
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (56th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Tiger Woods1st1st
Dustin Johnson2nd51st
Bo Van Pelt3rd78th
Brandt Snedeker4th2nd
Robert Garrigus5th6th
Vijay Singh6th27th
Phil Mickelson7th51st
Brendon de Jonge8th15th
Rickie Fowler9th6th
Pat Perez10th21st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Bo Van Pelt3rd78th(+75)
Steve Marino78th15th(−63)
Erik Compton72nd15th(−57)
Dustin Johnson2nd51st(+49)
Jeff Overton13th60th(+47)
Harris English27th73rd(+46)
Tag Ridings61st15th(−46)
Brad Fritsch54th9th(−45)
Casey Wittenberg60th15th(−45)
Phil Mickelson7th51st(+44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2013?

Tiger Woods won the 2013 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2013 Farmers Insurance Open played?

The 2013 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 24 January 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 Farmers Insurance Open?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by Tiger Woods.

How many players were in the Farmers Insurance Open field?

146 players started the 2013 Farmers Insurance Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.