OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

2015-05-21 · Colonial Country Club

Winner
Chris Kirk
Winning score
-12
Field
118
Field strength
+0.167 SG

The 2014-2015 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 21 May 2015. Chris Kirk won at 12 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of Brandt Snedeker. The winning card was 68, 69, 65 and 66, and the win paid $1,170,000. Brandt Snedeker, Jason Bohn and Jordan Spieth tied for second. 118 players started the event. The field averaged +0.167 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 92% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 118. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.374
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (66th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Adam Scott1st24th
Kevin Na2nd10th
Jordan Spieth3rd2nd
Jimmy Walker4th65th
Zach Johnson5th19th
Steve Stricker6th27th
Paul Casey7th43rd
Russell Knox8th24th
Ian Poulter9th5th
Chris Kirk10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Adam Hadwin73rd5th(−68)
Colt Knost72nd10th(−62)
Jimmy Walker4th65th(+61)
John Peterson26th79th(+53)
Nick Taylor75th27th(−48)
Fabián Gómez69th27th(−42)
Graham DeLaet14th53rd(+39)
Kyle Reifers41st80th(+39)
Paul Casey7th43rd(+36)
Luke Guthrie62nd27th(−35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial in 2014-2015?

Chris Kirk won the 2014-2015 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial at Colonial Country Club, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial played?

The 2014-2015 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 21 May 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial?

The winning score was 12 under par (268 strokes), posted by Chris Kirk.

How many players were in the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial field?

118 players started the 2014-2015 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.