OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

2014-05-22 · Colonial Country Club

Winner
Adam Scott
Winning score
-9
Field
120
Field strength
+0.178 SG

The 2013-2014 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 22 May 2014. Adam Scott won at 9 under par (271). The winning card was 71, 68, 66 and 66, and the win paid $1,152,000. Jason Dufner finished second, and Freddie Jacobson and Nicholas Thompson tied for third. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.178 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 96% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.418
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (78th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st14th
Jim Furyk2nd51st
Zach Johnson3rd73rd
Adam Scott4th1st
Graham DeLaet5th14th
Dustin Johnson6th14th
Chris Kirk7th14th
Bill Haas8th21st
Ryan Palmer9th5th
Jimmy Walker10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Zach Johnson3rd73rd(+70)
Jim Furyk2nd51st(+49)
Hunter Mahan14th60th(+46)
David Lingmerth51st5th(−46)
Nicholas Thompson47th3rd(−44)
Boo Weekley32nd75th(+43)
Heath Slocum70th30th(−40)
Bud Cauley60th21st(−39)
Charley Hoffman13th51st(+38)
Vijay Singh33rd70th(+37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial in 2013-2014?

Adam Scott won the 2013-2014 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial at Colonial Country Club, finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial played?

The 2013-2014 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 22 May 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial?

The winning score was 9 under par (271 strokes), posted by Adam Scott.

How many players were in the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial field?

120 players started the 2013-2014 Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.