OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

CIMB Classic

2016-10-20 · TPC Kuala Lumpur

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-23
Field
74
Field strength
+0.25 SG

The 2016-2017 CIMB Classic was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur, starting 20 October 2016. Justin Thomas won at 23 under par (265), 3 strokes ahead of Hideki Matsuyama. The winning card was 64, 66, 71 and 64, and the win paid $1,260,000. Hideki Matsuyama finished second, and Anirban Lahiri and Derek Fathauer tied for third. 74 players started the event. The field averaged +0.25 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 74. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.269
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
35.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (32nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st2nd
Paul Casey2nd21st
Adam Scott3rd10th
Justin Thomas4th1st
Ryan Moore5th17th
Sergio Garcia6th17th
Kevin Na7th29th
Patrick Reed8th51st
Russell Knox9th10th
Daniel Berger10th51st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Anirban Lahiri66th3rd(−63)
Scott Hend70th7th(−63)
Ryo Ishikawa68th10th(−58)
Derek Fathauer60th3rd(−57)
Tyrone Van Aswegen63rd7th(−56)
Aaron Baddeley57th10th(−47)
Gary Woodland11th56th(+45)
John Senden22nd66th(+44)
Patrick Reed8th51st(+43)
Jeunghun Wang72nd29th(−43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur in Kuala Lumpur, MAS. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the CIMB Classic in 2016-2017?

Justin Thomas won the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic at TPC Kuala Lumpur, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic played?

The 2016-2017 CIMB Classic was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur, starting 20 October 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic?

The winning score was 23 under par (265 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the CIMB Classic field?

74 players started the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.