OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

CIMB Classic

2015-10-29 · TPC Kuala Lumpur

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-26
Field
74
Field strength
+0.185 SG

The 2015-2016 CIMB Classic was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur, starting 29 October 2015. Justin Thomas won at 26 under par (262), 1 stroke ahead of Adam Scott. The winning card was 68, 61, 67 and 66, and the win paid $1,260,000. Adam Scott finished second, and Brendan Steele and Kevin Na tied for third. 74 players started the event. The field averaged +0.185 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 74. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.436
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
17.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (82nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st5th
Kevin Na2nd3rd
Sergio Garcia3rd24th
Adam Scott4th2nd
Henrik Stenson5th47th
Keegan Bradley6th47th
Paul Casey7th24th
Ryan Moore8th10th
Brendan Steele9th3rd
Russell Knox10th21st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jerry Kelly22nd68th(+46)
James Hahn49th6th(−43)
Henrik Stenson5th47th(+42)
Keegan Bradley6th47th(+41)
Jim Herman51st10th(−41)
Troy Merritt62nd21st(−41)
Robert Streb13th53rd(+40)
Luke Donald26th64th(+38)
Ben Crane67th29th(−38)
Daniel Berger28th64th(+36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur in Kuala Lumpur, MAS. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the CIMB Classic in 2015-2016?

Justin Thomas won the 2015-2016 CIMB Classic at TPC Kuala Lumpur, finishing 26 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 CIMB Classic played?

The 2015-2016 CIMB Classic was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur, starting 29 October 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 CIMB Classic?

The winning score was 26 under par (262 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the CIMB Classic field?

74 players started the 2015-2016 CIMB Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.