OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

2020-02-06 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Nick Taylor
Winning score
-19
Field
155
Field strength
-0.122 SG

The 2019-2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 6 February 2020. Nick Taylor won at 19 under par (268), 4 strokes ahead of Kevin Streelman. The winning card was 63, 66, 69 and 70, and the win paid $1,404,000. Kevin Streelman finished second, and Phil Mickelson was third. 155 players started the event. The field averaged -0.122 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 77% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 68 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.245
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (27th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Paul Casey1st64th
Patrick Cantlay2nd11th
Matt Kuchar3rd38th
Lucas Glover4th50th
Dustin Johnson5th32nd
Jason Day6th4th
Daniel Berger7th5th
Matt Fitzpatrick8th60th
Viktor Hovland9th38th
Kevin Kisner10th38th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Paul Casey1st64th(+63)
Charl Schwartzel64th5th(−59)
Matt Fitzpatrick8th60th(+52)
Aaron Wise15th62nd(+47)
Joseph Bramlett65th18th(−47)
Lucas Glover4th50th(+46)
Cameron Tringale21st64th(+43)
Matt Kuchar3rd38th(+35)
Kurt Kitayama53rd18th(−35)
Zac Blair52nd18th(−34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2019-2020?

Nick Taylor won the 2019-2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am played?

The 2019-2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 6 February 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

The winning score was 19 under par (268 strokes), posted by Nick Taylor.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am field?

155 players started the 2019-2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.