Tournaments / 2017-2018
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
2018-02-08 · Pebble Beach Golf Links
- Winner
- Ted Potter, Jr.
- Winning score
- -17
- Field
- 154
- Field strength
- +0.078 SG
The 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 8 February 2018. Ted Potter, Jr. won at 17 under par (270), 3 strokes ahead of Chez Reavie. The winning card was 68, 71, 62 and 69, and the win paid $1,332,000. Chez Reavie, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day and Phil Mickelson tied for second. 154 players started the event. The field averaged +0.078 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 82% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Ted Potter, Jr.
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 270
- Chez Reavie
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 273
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 273
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 273
- Phil Mickelson
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 273
- Kevin Streelman
- Pos
- 6
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Scott Stallings
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 275
- Brian Gay
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 277
- Grayson Murray
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 277
- Jimmy Walker
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Kevin Chappell
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Patrick Rodgers
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 277
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
- Troy Merritt
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 277
- Aaron Wise
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Brandon Harkins
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 278
- Russell Henley
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Russell Knox
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Sangmoon Bae
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Branden Grace
- Pos
- T20
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 279
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.487
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 18.8
Grade is this event’s percentile (92nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spieth | 1st | 20th |
| Dustin Johnson | 2nd | 2nd |
| Jon Rahm | 3rd | 26th |
| Paul Casey | 4th | 8th |
| Brandt Snedeker | 5th | 20th |
| Matt Kuchar | 6th | 62nd |
| Jason Day | 7th | 2nd |
| Chez Reavie | 8th | 2nd |
| Patrick Cantlay | 9th | 35th |
| Pat Perez | 10th | 35th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Sangmoon Bae | 72nd | 15th(−57) |
| Matt Kuchar | 6th | 62nd(+56) |
| Ted Potter, Jr. | 56th | 1st(−55) |
| Patrick Rodgers | 62nd | 8th(−54) |
| Troy Merritt | 57th | 8th(−49) |
| Grayson Murray | 52nd | 8th(−44) |
| Sean O'Hair | 30th | 73rd(+43) |
| K.J. Choi | 65th | 26th(−39) |
| Vaughn Taylor | 21st | 55th(+34) |
| Alex Cejka | 41st | 75th(+34) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2017-2018?
Where was the 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am played?
What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.