OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

2014-02-06 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Jimmy Walker
Winning score
-11
Field
153
Field strength
+0.082 SG

The 2013-2014 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 6 February 2014. Jimmy Walker won at 11 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Dustin Johnson. The winning card was 66, 69, 67 and 74, and the win paid $1,188,000. Dustin Johnson and Jim Renner tied for second. 153 players started the event. The field averaged +0.082 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 73% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 153. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.310
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (45th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jim Furyk1st35th
Jordan Spieth2nd4th
Phil Mickelson3rd19th
Chris Kirk4th61st
Hunter Mahan5th6th
Jason Day6th64th
Jimmy Walker7th1st
Dustin Johnson8th2nd
Kevin Stadler9th45th
Graeme McDowell10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jim Renner70th2nd(−68)
Chesson Hadley69th10th(−59)
Scott Gardiner72nd13th(−59)
Jason Day6th64th(+58)
Chris Kirk4th61st(+57)
Tim Wilkinson57th7th(−50)
Andrew Loupe74th27th(−47)
Steven Bowditch61st19th(−42)
David Duval75th35th(−40)
Bronson La'Cassie73rd35th(−38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am in 2013-2014?

Jimmy Walker won the 2013-2014 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 11 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am played?

The 2013-2014 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 6 February 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am?

The winning score was 11 under par (276 strokes), posted by Jimmy Walker.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am field?

153 players started the 2013-2014 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.