OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

2013-02-07 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Brandt Snedeker
Winning score
-19
Field
146
Field strength
+0.013 SG

The 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 7 February 2013. Brandt Snedeker won at 19 under par (267), 2 strokes ahead of Chris Kirk. The winning card was 66, 68, 68 and 65, and the win paid $1,170,000. Chris Kirk finished second, and James Hahn, Jimmy Walker and Kevin Stadler tied for third. 146 players started the event. The field averaged +0.013 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 73% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.255
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (28th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Brandt Snedeker1st1st
Jim Furyk2nd30th
Phil Mickelson3rd60th
Webb Simpson4th26th
Lee Westwood5th46th
Vijay Singh6th50th
Robert Garrigus7th22nd
Brendon de Jonge8th46th
Hunter Mahan9th16th
Pat Perez10th50th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Phil Mickelson3rd60th(+57)
James Driscoll63rd9th(−54)
S.Y. Noh16th69th(+53)
Patrick Cantlay61st9th(−52)
Vijay Singh6th50th(+44)
Lee Westwood5th46th(+41)
Patrick Reed48th7th(−41)
Ted Potter, Jr.57th16th(−41)
Pat Perez10th50th(+40)
Brendon de Jonge8th46th(+38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am in 2013?

Brandt Snedeker won the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am played?

The 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 7 February 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am?

The winning score was 19 under par (267 strokes), posted by Brandt Snedeker.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am field?

146 players started the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.