OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

AT&T Byron Nelson

2023-05-11 · TPC Craig Ranch

Winner
Jason Day
Winning score
-23
Field
151
Field strength
-0.155 SG

The 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 11 May 2023. Jason Day won at 23 under par (261), 1 stroke ahead of Austin Eckroat. The winning card was 64, 69, 66 and 62, and the win paid $1,710,000. Austin Eckroat and Si Woo Kim tied for second. 151 players started the event. The field averaged -0.155 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 79% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 84 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.370
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
27.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (65th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st5th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd23rd
Matt Kuchar3rd43rd
Tom Hoge4th43rd
Seamus Power5th19th
K.H. Lee6th50th
Tyrrell Hatton7th5th
Christiaan Bezuidenhout8th23rd
Adam Scott9th8th
Aaron Wise10th50th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Richy Werenski80th11th(−69)
Sung Kang81st14th(−67)
Zecheng Dou71st5th(−66)
Trevor Cone79th23rd(−56)
Harry Hall30th83rd(+53)
Peter Kuest64th14th(−50)
Tommy Gainey82nd34th(−48)
Austin Eckroat49th2nd(−47)
Kevin Tway57th11th(−46)
Carson Young59th14th(−45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2022-2023?

Jason Day won the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson played?

The 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 11 May 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 23 under par (261 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the AT&T Byron Nelson field?

151 players started the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.