OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

AT&T Byron Nelson

2019-05-09 · Trinity Forest Golf Club

Winner
Sung Kang
Winning score
-23
Field
152
Field strength
-0.04 SG

The 2018-2019 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at Trinity Forest Golf Club, starting 9 May 2019. Sung Kang won at 23 under par (261), 2 strokes ahead of Matt Every. The winning card was 65, 61, 68 and 67, and the win paid $1,422,000. Matt Every and Scott Piercy tied for second. 152 players started the event. The field averaged -0.04 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 74% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 83 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.049
Top-20 hit rate
25%
Top-10 avg model rank
37.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (2nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st23rd
Brooks Koepka2nd4th
Jordan Spieth3rd29th
Henrik Stenson4th20th
Rafa Cabrera Bello5th53rd
Aaron Wise6th43rd
Kevin Na7th35th
Patrick Reed8th63rd
Ryan Moore9th69th
Daniel Berger10th23rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Every73rd2nd(−71)
Sungjae Im14th83rd(+69)
Padraig Harrington77th12th(−65)
Nicholas Lindheim74th12th(−62)
Ryan Moore9th69th(+60)
Tyler Duncan65th5th(−60)
Brady Schnell81st23rd(−58)
Patrick Reed8th63rd(+55)
Doug Ghim66th12th(−54)
Joey Garber82nd29th(−53)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2018-2019?

Sung Kang won the 2018-2019 AT&T Byron Nelson at Trinity Forest Golf Club, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 AT&T Byron Nelson played?

The 2018-2019 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at Trinity Forest Golf Club, starting 9 May 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 AT&T Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 23 under par (261 strokes), posted by Sung Kang.

How many players were in the AT&T Byron Nelson field?

152 players started the 2018-2019 AT&T Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.