Tournaments / 2014-2015

AT&T Byron Nelson

2015-05-28 · TPC Four Seasons Resort

Winner: Steven Bowditch
Winning score: -18
Field: 148
Field strength: +0.002 SG

The 2014-2015 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Four Seasons Resort, starting 28 May 2015. Steven Bowditch won at 18 under par (259), 4 strokes ahead of Charley Hoffman. The winning card was 62, 68, 65 and 64, and the win paid $1,278,000. Charley Hoffman, Jimmy Walker and Scott Pinckney tied for second. 148 players started the event. The field averaged +0.002 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 82% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 148. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Steven Bowditch	62	68	65	64	259	-18
T2	Charley Hoffman	69	65	64	65	263	-14
T2	Jimmy Walker	64	66	67	66	263	-14
T2	Scott Pinckney	69	64	64	66	263	-14
5	Zach Johnson	69	64	68	63	264	-13
T6	Brandt Snedeker	71	66	64	64	265	-12
T6	Jon Curran	67	63	67	68	265	-12
T8	Dustin Johnson	67	68	62	69	266	-11
T8	Jason Dufner	71	65	64	66	266	-11
T10	Cameron Percy	67	64	68	68	267	-10
T10	Colt Knost	68	65	66	68	267	-10
T10	Daniel Berger	72	65	64	66	267	-10
T10	Nick Watney	67	65	70	65	267	-10
T10	Ryan Palmer	65	66	67	69	267	-10
T10	Tony Finau	67	64	68	68	267	-10
T16	Brooks Koepka	69	68	64	67	268	-9
T16	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castaño	70	68	67	63	268	-9
T16	John Merrick	66	67	69	66	268	-9
T16	Kenny Perry	69	68	64	67	268	-9
T16	Nicholas Thompson	70	67	66	65	268	-9

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 86 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade

Rank correlation: +0.287
Top-20 hit rate: 40%
Top-10 avg model rank: 23.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (39th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Dustin Johnson	1st	8th
Matt Kuchar	2nd	39th
Keegan Bradley	3rd	22nd
Zach Johnson	4th	5th
Ryan Palmer	5th	10th
Jimmy Walker	6th	2nd
Jordan Spieth	7th	30th
Harris English	8th	60th
Gary Woodland	9th	60th
Charley Hoffman	10th	2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Scott Pinckney	67th	2nd(−65)
Charl Schwartzel	14th	78th(+64)
Cameron Percy	73rd	10th(−63)
Billy Hurley III	24th	85th(+61)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castaño	72nd	16th(−56)
Rod Pampling	78th	22nd(−56)
Steven Bowditch	54th	1st(−53)
Harris English	8th	60th(+52)
Gary Woodland	9th	60th(+51)
Boo Weekley	34th	85th(+51)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Four Seasons Resort in Irving, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2014-2015?

Steven Bowditch won the 2014-2015 AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Four Seasons Resort, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 AT&T Byron Nelson played?

The 2014-2015 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Four Seasons Resort, starting 28 May 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 AT&T Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 18 under par (259 strokes), posted by Steven Bowditch.

How many players were in the AT&T Byron Nelson field?

148 players started the 2014-2015 AT&T Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.