OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

3M Open

2025-07-24 · TPC Twin Cities

Winner
Kurt Kitayama
Winning score
-23
Field
149
Field strength
-0.046 SG

The 2025 3M Open was played at TPC Twin Cities, starting 24 July 2025. Kurt Kitayama won at 23 under par (261), 1 stroke ahead of Sam Stevens. The winning card was 65, 71, 60 and 65, and the win paid $1,512,000. Sam Stevens finished second. 149 players started the event. The field averaged -0.046 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 149. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.152
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (8th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Sam Burns1st61st
Kurt Kitayama2nd1st
Taylor Pendrith3rd68th
Akshay Bhatia4th25th
Wyndham Clark5th12th
Adam Scott6th53rd
Christiaan Bezuidenhout7th20th
Alex Noren8th7th
Sam Stevens9th2nd
Victor Perez10th28th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Taylor Pendrith3rd68th(+65)
David Lipsky67th3rd(−64)
Sam Burns1st61st(+60)
Noah Goodwin68th10th(−58)
Pierceson Coody57th3rd(−54)
Taylor Montgomery65th12th(−53)
William Mouw58th7th(−51)
Kevin Kisner76th28th(−48)
Adam Scott6th53rd(+47)
Harry Higgs70th25th(−45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the 3M Open in 2025?

Kurt Kitayama won the 2025 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2025 3M Open played?

The 2025 3M Open was played at TPC Twin Cities, starting 24 July 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 3M Open?

The winning score was 23 under par (261 strokes), posted by Kurt Kitayama.

How many players were in the 3M Open field?

149 players started the 2025 3M Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.