OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship

2020-02-20 · Club de Golf Chapultepec

Winner
Patrick Reed
Winning score
-18
Field
70
Field strength
+0.606 SG

The 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 20 February 2020. Patrick Reed won at 18 under par (266), 1 stroke ahead of Bryson DeChambeau. The winning card was 69, 63, 67 and 67, and the win paid $1,820,000. Bryson DeChambeau finished second, and Erik van Rooyen and Jon Rahm tied for third. 70 players started the event. The field averaged +0.606 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 67% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 70. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.504
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (94th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st5th
Justin Thomas2nd6th
Hideki Matsuyama3rd6th
Webb Simpson4th61st
Jon Rahm5th3rd
Adam Scott6th26th
Xander Schauffele7th14th
Dustin Johnson8th48th
Tommy Fleetwood9th18th
Louis Oosthuizen10th51st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Webb Simpson4th61st(+57)
Benjamin Hebert66th18th(−48)
Zander Lombard69th26th(−43)
Louis Oosthuizen10th51st(+41)
Dustin Johnson8th48th(+40)
Erik van Rooyen40th3rd(−37)
Kevin Na46th9th(−37)
Lucas Glover27th61st(+34)
Shaun Norris70th37th(−33)
Ryan Fox61st29th(−32)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship in 2019-2020?

Patrick Reed won the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship played?

The 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 20 February 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship?

The winning score was 18 under par (266 strokes), posted by Patrick Reed.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship field?

70 players started the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.