OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship

2018-03-01 · Club de Golf Chapultepec

Winner
Phil Mickelson
Winning score
-16
Field
66
Field strength
+0.721 SG

The 2017-2018 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 1 March 2018. Phil Mickelson won at 16 under par (268). The winning card was 69, 68, 65 and 66, and the win paid $1,700,000. Justin Thomas finished second, and Rafa Cabrera Bello and Tyrrell Hatton tied for third. 66 players started the event. The field averaged +0.721 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 68% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 66. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 63 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.431
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (81st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st7th
Jordan Spieth2nd14th
Rickie Fowler3rd37th
Justin Thomas4th2nd
Paul Casey5th12th
Jon Rahm6th20th
Justin Rose7th37th
Sergio Garcia8th7th
Matt Kuchar9th58th
Phil Mickelson10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kiradech Aphibarnrat55th5th(−50)
Matt Kuchar9th58th(+49)
Patton Kizzire50th12th(−38)
Chez Reavie16th52nd(+36)
Shubhankar Sharma45th9th(−36)
Rickie Fowler3rd37th(+34)
Tyrrell Hatton35th3rd(−32)
Jhonattan Vegas51st20th(−31)
Justin Rose7th37th(+30)
Russell Henley29th58th(+29)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship in 2017-2018?

Phil Mickelson won the 2017-2018 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec, finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship played?

The 2017-2018 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 1 March 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship?

The winning score was 16 under par (268 strokes), posted by Phil Mickelson.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship field?

66 players started the 2017-2018 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.