OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions

2013-10-31 · Sheshan International GC

Winner
Dustin Johnson
Winning score
-24
Field
73
Field strength
+0.554 SG

The 2013-2014 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 31 October 2013. Dustin Johnson won at 24 under par (264), 3 strokes ahead of Ian Poulter. The winning card was 69, 63, 66 and 66, and the win paid $1,400,000. Ian Poulter finished second, and Graeme McDowell was third. 73 players started the event. The field averaged +0.554 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 53% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 73. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.405
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (75th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st5th
Luke Donald2nd31st
Rory McIlroy3rd6th
Jason Dufner4th34th
Sergio Garcia5th4th
Keegan Bradley6th11th
Brandt Snedeker7th55th
Phil Mickelson8th14th
Henrik Stenson9th31st
Lee Westwood10th55th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Miguel Angel Jiménez20th72nd(+52)
Jaco Van Zyl71st21st(−50)
Paul Casey69th20th(−49)
Brandt Snedeker7th55th(+48)
Jamie Donaldson56th8th(−48)
Lee Westwood10th55th(+45)
Mikko Ilonen66th21st(−45)
Rickie Fowler15th55th(+40)
Scott Hend59th21st(−38)
Matteo Manassero58th21st(−37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Sheshan International GC in Shanghai, CHN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in 2013-2014?

Dustin Johnson won the 2013-2014 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions at Sheshan International GC, finishing 24 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions played?

The 2013-2014 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 31 October 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions?

The winning score was 24 under par (264 strokes), posted by Dustin Johnson.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions field?

73 players started the 2013-2014 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.