OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2026

WM Phoenix Open

2026-02-05 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Chris Gotterup
Winning score
-16
Field
122
Field strength
+0.078 SG

The 2026 WM Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 5 February 2026. Chris Gotterup won at 16 under par (268). The winning card was 63, 71, 70 and 64, and the win paid $1,728,000. Hideki Matsuyama finished second. 122 players started the event. The field averaged +0.078 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 93% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 122. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.576
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
13.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (98th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st3rd
Hideki Matsuyama2nd2nd
Xander Schauffele3rd41st
Collin Morikawa4th54th
Viktor Hovland5th10th
Si Woo Kim6th3rd
Maverick McNealy7th13th
Ben Griffin8th28th
Cameron Young9th41st
Harris English10th28th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Zecheng Dou69th13th(−56)
Collin Morikawa4th54th(+50)
Davis Thompson18th64th(+46)
Jordan Smith58th16th(−42)
Ryo Hisatsune49th10th(−39)
Xander Schauffele3rd41st(+38)
Patrick Rodgers24th60th(+36)
Cameron Young9th41st(+32)
Bud Cauley37th68th(+31)
Kevin Roy44th13th(−31)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the WM Phoenix Open in 2026?

Chris Gotterup won the 2026 WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2026 WM Phoenix Open played?

The 2026 WM Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 5 February 2026.

What was the winning score at the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 16 under par (268 strokes), posted by Chris Gotterup.

How many players were in the WM Phoenix Open field?

122 players started the 2026 WM Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.