OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

WM Phoenix Open

2023-02-09 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Scottie Scheffler
Winning score
-19
Field
133
Field strength
+0.286 SG

The 2022-2023 WM Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 9 February 2023. Scottie Scheffler won at 19 under par (265), 2 strokes ahead of Nick Taylor. The winning card was 68, 64, 68 and 65, and the win paid $3,600,000. Nick Taylor finished second, and Jon Rahm was third. 133 players started the event. The field averaged +0.286 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 133. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 66 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.340
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (57th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st1st
Rory McIlroy2nd32nd
Tony Finau3rd14th
Jon Rahm3rd3rd
Xander Schauffele5th10th
Justin Thomas6th4th
Viktor Hovland7th42nd
Sungjae Im8th6th
Matt Fitzpatrick9th29th
Max Homa10th39th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cameron Young11th64th(+53)
Dylan Frittelli66th14th(−52)
Nick Taylor49th2nd(−47)
Charley Hoffman56th14th(−42)
Chesson Hadley62nd23rd(−39)
Adam Schenk61st23rd(−38)
Corey Conners14th50th(+36)
Viktor Hovland7th42nd(+35)
Tom Kim15th50th(+35)
Kevin Tway64th32nd(−32)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the WM Phoenix Open in 2022-2023?

Scottie Scheffler won the 2022-2023 WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 WM Phoenix Open played?

The 2022-2023 WM Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 9 February 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 WM Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 19 under par (265 strokes), posted by Scottie Scheffler.

How many players were in the WM Phoenix Open field?

133 players started the 2022-2023 WM Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.