OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Wells Fargo Championship

2019-05-02 · Quail Hollow Club

Winner
Max Homa
Winning score
-15
Field
152
Field strength
+0.049 SG

The 2018-2019 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 2 May 2019. Max Homa won at 15 under par (269), 3 strokes ahead of Joel Dahmen. The winning card was 69, 63, 70 and 67, and the win paid $1,422,000. Joel Dahmen finished second, and Justin Rose was third. 152 players started the event. The field averaged +0.049 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.298
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (42nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st3rd
Rory McIlroy2nd8th
Rickie Fowler3rd4th
Jason Day4th24th
Paul Casey5th4th
Hideki Matsuyama6th31st
Webb Simpson7th18th
Tony Finau8th60th
Sergio Garcia9th4th
Henrik Stenson10th28th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Max Homa59th1st(−58)
Jim Knous70th13th(−57)
Jason Dufner60th4th(−56)
Jason Kokrak14th69th(+55)
Brendon Todd71st18th(−53)
Tony Finau8th60th(+52)
Luke List17th65th(+48)
Doc Redman66th18th(−48)
Seamus Power57th13th(−44)
Beau Hossler30th73rd(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2018-2019?

Max Homa won the 2018-2019 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Wells Fargo Championship played?

The 2018-2019 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 2 May 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Wells Fargo Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Max Homa.

How many players were in the Wells Fargo Championship field?

152 players started the 2018-2019 Wells Fargo Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.