OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2020-01-30 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Webb Simpson
Winning score
-17
Field
131
Field strength
+0.16 SG

The 2019-2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 30 January 2020. Webb Simpson won at 17 under par (267). The winning card was 71, 63, 64 and 69, and the win paid $1,314,000. Tony Finau finished second, and Bubba Watson, Justin Thomas and Nate Lashley tied for third. 131 players started the event. The field averaged +0.16 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 131. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 66 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.228
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (23rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st3rd
Webb Simpson2nd1st
Hideki Matsuyama3rd16th
Jon Rahm4th9th
Xander Schauffele5th16th
Rickie Fowler6th37th
Sungjae Im7th34th
Gary Woodland8th40th
Bryson DeChambeau9th52nd
Matt Kuchar10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Hudson Swafford63rd9th(−54)
Brandon Hagy66th16th(−50)
Max Homa54th6th(−48)
Mark Hubbard53rd9th(−44)
Bryson DeChambeau9th52nd(+43)
J.B. Holmes59th16th(−43)
Patrick Rodgers58th16th(−42)
Denny McCarthy20th59th(+39)
Keith Mitchell55th16th(−39)
Dylan Frittelli25th63rd(+38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2019-2020?

Webb Simpson won the 2019-2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2019-2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 30 January 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 17 under par (267 strokes), posted by Webb Simpson.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

131 players started the 2019-2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.